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ical fallacy for a long time and have almost succeeded in figuring out a solution.C.The statistics from a life insurance company on the longevity of a group of people should be reliable.D.Risk prediction is proved to be of zero practical value. 参考答案： C 细节题。C选项的信息来自文章第六段的最后一句话，A life-insurance company, for instance, could wrongly predict the life span of every person it insured but still get the correct result for the group.即“例如一个人寿保险公司也许不能预测每个人的寿命长度，但它可以对群体做出准确预测。”。
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